Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.179982 0.210102 0.243151 0.282031 0.326437 0.375492 0.433703
2025-11-30 0.136472 0.179141 0.230956 0.298120 0.382442 0.484328 0.616236
2025-12-07 0.103204 0.148286 0.207426 0.289856 0.400789 0.543792 0.740761
2025-12-14 0.080951 0.125607 0.188129 0.280689 0.412553 0.591669 0.850895
2025-12-21 0.065703 0.109181 0.173660 0.274282 0.424854 0.638727 0.961482
2025-12-28 0.056802 0.100305 0.168173 0.279056 0.452164 0.707605 1.106993
2026-01-04 0.050739 0.094695 0.166483 0.288693 0.486791 0.789090 1.276610
2026-01-11 0.045057 0.088653 0.163015 0.294597 0.515502 0.863249 1.440278
2026-01-18 0.039772 0.082357 0.158092 0.297137 0.538446 0.929573 1.596092
2026-01-25 0.034987 0.076141 0.152345 0.297287 0.556902 0.989485 1.745340
2026-02-01 0.030451 0.069617 0.145084 0.293675 0.568121 1.037772 1.878362
2026-02-08 0.026479 0.063543 0.137791 0.288974 0.576587 1.081501 2.006150
2026-02-15 0.022381 0.056572 0.127959 0.278564 0.574102 1.106930 2.106169
2026-02-22 0.021348 0.056233 0.131494 0.294755 0.622976 1.227079 2.380978
2026-03-01 0.018319 0.050731 0.123468 0.286599 0.624135 1.260759 2.503364
2026-03-08 0.015667 0.045617 0.115515 0.277527 0.622352 1.288422 2.616109
2026-03-15 0.013585 0.041521 0.109230 0.271186 0.625266 1.324805 2.747043
2026-03-22 0.012461 0.039735 0.108039 0.275912 0.651465 1.407826 2.971626
2026-03-29 0.011724 0.038873 0.108939 0.285450 0.688650 1.514903 3.249209
2026-04-05 0.010855 0.037469 0.108299 0.291295 0.718241 1.608633 3.506221
2026-04-12 0.009912 0.035658 0.106371 0.293809 0.740585 1.688950 3.741223
2026-04-19 0.008967 0.033645 0.103621 0.293957 0.757478 1.758887 3.959141
2026-04-26 0.007978 0.031281 0.099582 0.290382 0.765385 1.810281 4.141941